this post was submitted on 12 Oct 2024
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But the issue is that the temporary surges are not even followed by stability, they're followed by decline. That's not a recipe for sustainability.
Alternative analysis: it doesn't help it to pretend there's not a problem.
You mean after a surge there's less active users than before?
The graphs suggest that there is a dependence on surges to counteract slow decline.
On the very end of the graph you can see it sort of beginning to stabalize, there was even a small uptick in the second to last point, and sure, the last point shows a small decrease again.
My point is that it is too early to call out for danger regarding mastodon, that is too alarmist and may scare new users from the platform, speeding up the end of Mastodon.
So untill we have a period of time without surges it is hard to determine user growth
Fair enough.