forecasting

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Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.

Related community: !predictions@lemmy.ca

Forecasting can be about economics, marketing, products, finance, technology, policies, demographics, energy, climate, crime, politics, or whatever.

founded 1 year ago

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copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de

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How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters? (news.manifold.markets)

submitted 8 months ago by copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de to c/forecasting@discuss.tchncs.de

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[–] glimse@lemmy.world 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Gonna go ahead and guess 99% without clicking the link

[–] copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de 1 points 8 months ago

The market now gives Biden an 89% chance (up from a brief low of 86% after the Klein article)

[–] philipp_@discuss.tchncs.de 1 points 8 months ago

Listen: This is how Bernie can still win: ...