this post was submitted on 08 Aug 2023
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I asked GPT-4 for a list of the most important threats to human civilization, their likelihood, and why they were considered threats.

GPT's output is also pasted into the comments.

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[–] intensely_human@lemm.ee 1 points 1 year ago

Absolutely:

  1. Climate Change (70 - 80%):

    • Rising sea levels causing coastal city displacement.
    • More frequent and severe natural disasters, such as hurricanes and wildfires.
    • Agricultural disruptions leading to food shortages.
    • Climate-induced migrations causing geopolitical tensions.
    • Ocean acidification damaging marine ecosystems.
  2. Nuclear Warfare (5 - 10%):

    • Immediate loss of life from blast and thermal radiation.
    • Long-term radiation exposure causing health issues and deaths.
    • Nuclear winter, severely impacting global climate and agriculture.
    • Societal collapse due to infrastructural damage.
    • Contamination of natural resources.
  3. Pandemics (40 - 50%):

    • Massive loss of life and strain on healthcare systems.
    • Economic downturns due to lockdowns and decreased consumer confidence.
    • Disruptions in global trade and supply chains.
    • Increased mental health issues due to isolation and stress.
    • Reduced mobility leading to cultural and educational setbacks.
  4. Artificial Intelligence Misuse (20 - 30%):

    • Loss of jobs due to unchecked automation.
    • Misinformation campaigns undermining democratic processes.
    • Unintended consequences from AI decisions in critical systems.
    • Surveillance and privacy concerns.
    • AI-driven cyber-attacks.
  5. Biodiversity Loss (60 - 70%):

    • Disruption of ecosystems, leading to loss of services they provide.
    • Increased vulnerability to pests and diseases.
    • Reduced agricultural productivity and food security.
    • Loss of medicinal resources and potential discoveries.
    • Negative impact on cultural and recreational values.
  6. Economic Collapse (20 - 25%):

    • Mass unemployment and reduced quality of life.
    • Collapse of essential services and infrastructure.
    • Increased crime rates and social unrest.
    • Potential for political upheavals and radicalization.
    • Long-term stagnation and reduced global cooperation.
  7. Asteroid Impact (0.01 - 0.1%):

    • Immediate loss of life from impact event.
    • Global climate changes due to debris and soot.
    • Disruption of global food chains leading to famines.
    • Economic collapses due to widespread infrastructure damage.
    • Potential for long-term ecological and atmospheric disturbances.
  8. Geomagnetic Storms (10 - 15%):

    • Widespread power outages and grid failures.
    • Disruption of satellite communication and navigation systems.
    • Economic losses due to infrastructure damage.
    • Potential aviation hazards.
    • Disruption in digital communication networks.
  9. Resource Depletion (40 - 50%):

    • Increased prices leading to economic strain.
    • Potential for geopolitical conflicts over resources.
    • Reduced quality of life due to scarcity.
    • Environmental degradation from over-extraction.
    • Societal tensions and potential migrations due to resource inequalities.
  10. Political Instability (30 - 40%):

  • Regional conflicts potentially escalating to global wars.
  • Disruptions in global trade and diplomatic relations.
  • Mass migrations and refugee crises.
  • Economic downturns and potential resource hoarding.
  • Erosion of democratic values and human rights.

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