this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2025
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[–] dan@upvote.au 2 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago)

And if your life situation changes or the incoming government fucks around with the tax codes, your estimating will be off.

That's kinda what quarterly estimated taxes are for. At the end of every quarter, if things aren't lining up and your estimates were too low, you can pay extra tax to bring things in line.

The estimate doesn't have to be too precise though. At long as you pay at least 90% of what you owe this year or 100% of what you owed last year (whichever is smaller), you'll be fine. Any less than that and you'll be hit with an underpayment penalty.

It's better to owe money rather than get a refund, as long as you pay enough to avoid the underpayment penalty.