this post was submitted on 28 Jan 2025
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I want to hear you reasons, why do you think that.

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[โ€“] ParadeDuGrotesque@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 3 days ago (4 children)

You have to define 'we' and you also have to define 'WW3'.

Possible scenarios:

  • USA decides to get actively involved in Ukraine's conflict. Yes, that could spell WW3. Low probability, though, since Trump does not care about Ukraine.

  • Russia decides to attack Western Europe. Probably only a regional conflict, since Trump would probably pull out of NATO. This is the scenario a lot of European nations are gaming today.

  • China attacks Taiwan and/or North Korea attacks South Korea. Probably a regional conflict, but with a high probability of escalation. Trump would drop both South Korea and Taiwan at the drop of a hat.

  • Iran attacks Israel, probably through proxy. Regional conflict. This is already going on, so low risk of escalation.

[โ€“] Didros@beehaw.org 3 points 2 days ago
  • Other countries decide to band together and stop the United States.

Mmm if Iran and Israel really start to go at it, I could absolutely imagine Trump finding a way to use nukes on Iran. He wants to use the nukes.

[โ€“] thepreciousboar@lemm.ee 3 points 2 days ago

Not saying any of these would cause WW3, but remeber that, depending on who you ask, WW2 started:

  • when Germany and Russia invaded Poland in 1939
  • when Germany invaded Checkoslovakia in 1938
  • when Japan invaded China in 1937

there is no single point of start for a war, just many actions of variable intensity that escalate

[โ€“] Tabitha@hexbear.net 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)

It's possible none of those would technically be WW3 by itself, perhaps the start of heavier US commitment in the first of those conflicts might be perceived as the opportunity for the others to get started. Maybe even some less obvious conflicts are merely waiting for NATO to be preoccupied (e.g. random colonies being invaded or declaring independence). The US will be forced into taking at least one L, or switching back to a war economy.

  • India vs Pakistan
  • ISIS expansion
  • Water Wars (multiple locations)
  • USA invading Mexico
  • Syrian Civil War
  • Greenland War
    • IDK if Denmark can defend Greenland, but NATO could article5/split
[โ€“] sooper_dooper_roofer@hexbear.net 3 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

India vs Pakistan

not plausible, neither of them are that stupid

Afghanistan vs. Pakistan, or Iran, is infinitely more likely. Pashtun supremacists (yea the Taliban) are actually stupid af

You remember how the Tamil Tigers invaded Sri Lanka? Now imagine if they were doing that but to China. That's basically what the Taliban is doing right now lol

(just to be clear, Tamils were actually fighting oppression, Pashtuns are not)