this post was submitted on 18 Jan 2025
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I don't know if I'm going crazy but looking at the current situation in the world ... please tell me that I'm overexagurating

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[โ€“] yogthos@lemmy.ml 2 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

Russia/Ukraine war: Russia will get some territory and thats about it, probrally just the Russian majority areas. After that the EU will intimidate Russia to back off.

How do you imagine the EU will do that exactly? The EU has no military industrial capacity to speak of, it doesn't have access to cheap energy, and it's becoming politically unstable. A far more likely scenario here is that the EU starts breaking up, and nationalist parties start realigning their countries towards Russia because the US will leave EU to hang.

I would imagine that if Russian agression continues than nationalist parties would loose steam