this post was submitted on 02 Nov 2024
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UPDATE: I will stop using Linux / PC for 10 months. What do you think will happen in that period? (lemmy.world)
submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by mrvictory1@lemmy.world to c/linux@lemmy.ml
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Long story short, I made a post in '23 August about my predictions for linux in the next 10 months. It has been more than 10 months I am here. Old post here: https://lemmy.world/post/3322139

Here were my predictions:

  • Pop OS 24.04 will be awesome and be the go-to recommendation when it is released
  • SteamOS for PCs will not be released yet
  • Linux market share will be around %2-2.5 in Steam hardware survey
  • Plasma 6 will be released around January and will be a bit buggy, but most rough edges will be smoothed by the next release in 3-4 months
  • NVK will have performance parity with official drivers in certain configurations
  • Wayland will gain wider adoption, even on Nvidia
  • There will be little to no progress in compatibility with current anti-cheat blocked games
  • (bonus, not related to Linux) Web environment integrity will be adopted only in education industry because it is dominated by Chromebooks at least in US.

And the results:

  • Pop OS 24.04 is still not here and even if it was I wouldn't recommend it to anyone yet because their custom DE is still cooking. (incorrect)
  • SteamOS is not released. (Correct)
  • Linux is exactly at %2 on Steam survey right now and was even higher before (Correct)
  • Plasma 6 is in a good shape (correct)
  • I haven't followed NVK development closely but afaik it doesn't offer performance parity at the moment. (incorrect)
  • 2024 has been a good year for Nvidia + Wayland :) (correct)
  • Ah, the anti cheats... <insert it's evolving but backwards meme here> (correct)
  • Web Environment Integrity is dead (incorrect) source: wikipedia

So I got 5/8. Before you ask, no, the "decommision my PC" part didn't work out. That endeavour lasted only 1 and a half month. But I managed to isolate myself from Linux news.

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[–] wewbull@feddit.uk 39 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Anti-cheat "compatibility" means allowing software kernel level access and after Crowd strike I think that tide will be turning even on Windows.

Anti-cheat will change. Not Linux IMHO.

[–] CHKMRK@programming.dev 12 points 1 month ago

One of the few good things that came from the Crowdstrike disaster

[–] rain_worl@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

there's always the option of an emulator

[–] wewbull@feddit.uk 3 points 1 month ago

I'm not sure there is. The whole point of these anti-cheat systems is to detect running on modified setups that allow for the injection of code. An emulator is one such system.

[–] rain_worl@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

Wine Is Now an Emulator