this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2024
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Why do any extremists - or russia, the US or israel for that matter - target violence towards civilians?
Maybe they believe the cause is worth it, the tactical calculus still comes out in their favour, or they just hate all russians? General destabilization? Forcing the state to devote more resources to protecting soft civilian infrastructure. Making people feel unsafe. Inspiring similar atrocities. The logic of tactically deploying murder isn't always clear to an outsider, especially before we have a firm idea who did this.
I strongly doubt this is an "honest-to-goodness sign of revolution". Shooting concert-goers is obviously not that. But I don't think it's logically sound to rule out an anti-putin motivation just because civilians were killed.