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Russia doesn't need Ukraine on its own, they need Ukraine to get access Poland, Romania and Moldova.
They already switched into war time production, and if they manage to get Ukraine they only need a year or two to replenish all military equipment.
People really underestimate Russia and that's the worst thing you can do to get caught pants down. If Russia senses there's a chance to succeed they will move on.
Another thing the West seems to be ignoring is that they think the war is just what is happening in Ukraine, when the majority of their operation is disinformation, subversion, and destabilization.
The popularity of far right politicians (who for some reason are friendly toward Kremlin) or BRExit shows how effective it is.
But why? Poland and Romania are already in NATO. Isn't that why they're attacking Ukraine now and Georgia in 2008, to prevent them from joining NATO?
And who's going to do all the replenishing? Disabled former soldiers, the single moms the dead ones left behind, or the almost nonexistent men over 55? Oh, maybe they could liberate the prison population, half of which has AIDS.
Edit: not to mention their enormous deficit in power projection, assuming they could replenish their equipment and find people to operate it. They barely have a navy, have essentially lost access to the Baltic, and other than Belarus have no allies who would let them use their territory for staging.