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Nobody is in control. There are no rules.
(lemmy.blahaj.zone)
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Source? The Pakistani military had enough control over the country to replace the former PM with the current guy. Now I'm not saying this is a good thing, but I don't see the Taliban beating them in an open fight.
I'll admit I saw it on Tiktok - https://www.tiktok.com/@philipdefranco/video/7322234507183164718
But I searched and found articles for example - https://www.voanews.com/a/pakistan-seeks-us-help-against-pakistani-taliban-in-afghanistan/7397076.html they talk about the attacks on the military.
The military could control the country but the Taliban can resort to much dirtier tactics than a proper military. So I think there's some decent chance.
That's the TTP, a small fundamentalist group in Pakistan. They do occassional terrorist attacks in rural northwest Pakistan, and those are of course horrible to those affected, but they aren't challenging the power of the state. They're also unrelated to the Afghan Taliban, with whom the Pakistan military has a neutral to good relationship.