this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2023
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I'd argue the phone apps are instant messaging and I'm a little surprised none of the previously-dominant PC-based IM apps made the transition successfully. Most of the ones currently popular do have web or native PC options though.
I think we're more likely to see users move from Threads to Mastodon than the other direction. Ideally, we'll be able to offer a more compelling pitch than just "not corporate".
Regardless of how you classify them, nobody was ever going to figure out how to sideload a jabber client onto their flip phones or iphone 1 or blackberries.
And that is kind of the thing. Maybe Google got a larger market share of the IM market (I assume AIM was still dominant in the US and ICQ in the rest of the world) by using XMPP but better. But the market got wiped out by SMS and imessage and now is mostly shared between (depending on your country) whatsapp, line, and the imessage. ... And I still use Hangouts.
Even if XMPP had been dominant on PC (which is not at all what EEE is about but...), it would not have survived as people shifted away from sitting at a computer and typing and moved toward stopping in the middle of the sidewalk and using their thumbs on a phone screen.
That's a really good point imho. Maybe Google just made a better product... or at least a more accessible product.
I keep seeing people say things like this, but it's just naive. Meta isn't spending billions of dollars just to give their captive audience an offramp.
I'm not sure what Meta's goal is with adding federation to Threads. Some options include:
As for why I think the flow of users is likely to be away from Threads: