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Award ceremony suspended after writer compares Gaza to Nazi-era Jewish ghettos
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 15 Dec 2023
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100 years from now the MENA region will be uninhabitable due to climate heating and I doubt that anyone will want to visit it in some spacesuit.
That's not what any of the worst case scenario in climate studies I've seen seem to think, what are you basing it on?
Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates | PNAS
An astronomically dated record of Earth’s climate and its predictability over the last 66 million years | Science
Toward a Cenozoic history of atmospheric CO2 | Science
Environmental changes during the Cretaceous-Paleogene mass extinction and Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: Implications for the Anthropocene - ScienceDirect
...
Greatly enhanced risk to humans as a consequence of empirically determined lower moist heat stress tolerance | PNAS
Projected Air Temperature Extremes and Maximum Heat Conditions Over the Middle-East-North Africa (MENA) Region | Earth Systems and Environment
Climate change projections for the Middle East–North Africa domain with COSMO-CLM at different spatial resolutions - ScienceDirect
Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East - Zittis - 2022 - Reviews of Geophysics - Wiley Online Library
For the lazy, it's their 6th, 7th, and 8th links.
Projected Air Temperature Extremes and Maximum Heat Conditions Over the Middle-East-North Africa (MENA) Region | Earth Systems and Environment
Climate change projections for the Middle East–North Africa domain with COSMO-CLM at different spatial resolutions - ScienceDirect
Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East - Zittis - 2022 - Reviews of Geophysics - Wiley Online Library
This one also is relevant: Greatly enhanced risk to humans as a consequence of empirically determined lower moist heat stress tolerance | PNAS
We're going to start seeing that in about a decade. You should imagine scale and intensity growing over time.
You should also consider migration at least within the region. That's not easy to model, but you can start by looking at the role of climate heating and drought in Syria.
Just posting a whole big pile of stuff and saying 'the answers probably in there somewhere and you can't disagree until you've been thought it all' is something conspiracy theorists and idiots do.
The first paper doesn't agree with your claim so it's pretty obvious you didn't even read it yourself.
This is not a big pile, these are only 8 peer-reviewed papers. This is a tiny snack on a coffee-cup plate.
I read many papers every day, and I intentionally posted some that don't 100% back up what I said so you can have more nuance.
You intentionally made the first one disagree with your argument to add nuance.
Thank you, I will be laughing about this for years to come.
Oh, I doubt that you'll be laughing. Tell me, how do you think avoiding confirmation biases and sampling biases looks like?
Your links don’t support your claim, and in fact contradict it. No doomerism please.
I highly doubt that you've read them or comprehend the implications. The models have various outputs. Good luck with your optimism, but don't expect me to work to keep your hopes up.
I skimmed a few, but I took your dozens of seemingly barely relevant links as a deliberate attempt to keep people from scrutinizing your claim. So no, I didn’t read all of them and I doubt you did either. If you did then please point to specifically where any of that supports your claim that Gaza will be uninhabitable.
Most seemed completely irrelevant to your claim but one paper showed a projected lethal heat map. It did not show any such heat in Israel/Palestine. This makes sense because west-facing coastal regions are protected from extreme temperatures by marine weather.
They have long been at the point where the heat seems to impact their thought processes negatively. It will only get worse with more heat, I'm afraid.