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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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Groups call for protests over countries' role in supplying Israel with nearly 30 percent of its oil

The pipeline transports Azerbaijani crude oil to the Turkish port of Ceyhan, supplying Israel with 28 percent of its oil imports at a time when Israel is waging war on Gaza and Lebanon.

The pipeline is majority owned by BP, with Azerbaijan’s state-owned oil company Socar the second-largest shareholder.

Performative solidarity

Turkish relations with Israel have plummeted since the Gaza war began, (...)

However, Lorne Stockman, the author of a report by advocacy group Oil Change International, which tracked oil shipments to Israel up until July, said that their data sources showed multiple shipments from Ceyhan since May.

“We reached out to our data sources and they are seeing shipments that are registered as having come from the BTC [ Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan] terminus, which is Ceyhan, and arrived in Ashkelon in September and October and November.”

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November 19, 2024

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The paper is here

Archived copies of the article:

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The main explanation for continuous underforcasts by IEA, is that their rolodex includes only oil companies, and that's who they ask.

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This post uses a gift link which may have a view count limit. If it runs out, there is an archived copy available

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The Climate Policy Institute attending the UN summit was founded by a state-backed think tank which has received fossil fuel funding.

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Access options:

I'm not sure their method of assessing ability to respond is quite there — a lot of it is about community-building, and the things they use (eg: spending on shared infrastructure) are very rough proxies for that. Still, it's making an effort in a direction that I haven't seen others do.

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Archived copies of the article:

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France's Defender of Rights urges the government to address climate change's impact on children. The organisation outlines several key recommendations in a report released Wednesday to mark United Nations World Children's Day.

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A new analysis finds that the parts of the country where HIV prevalence is high are also some of the most at-risk areas for climate disasters.

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Environmental advocates understand the announcement as a reversal, calling it “absolutely devastating.”

The Biden administration has backtracked from supporting a cap on plastic production as part of the United Nations’ global plastics treaty.

This represents a reversal of what the same groups were told at a similar briefing held in August, when Biden administration representatives raised hopes that the U.S. would join countries like Norway, Peru, and the United Kingdom in supporting limits on plastic production.

Nearly 70 countries, along with scientists and environmental groups, support the latter. They say it’s futile to mop up plastic litter while more and more of it keeps getting made.

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New study finds a $500 insurance hike boosts mortgage delinquencies by 20%, stressing housing impact of changing climate.

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Agriculture delegates use influence to “distract” policymakers from genuine solutions needed to transform food and farming, say campaigners.

Overall, 204 agriculture delegates have accessed the talks this year,

Food sector lobbyists remain highly influential, travelling to Baku as part of country delegations from Brazil, Russia and Australia, among others. This year, nearly 40 percent of delegates travelled to the summit with country badges – which lent them privileged access to diplomatic negotiations, up from 30 percent at COP28, and just five percent at COP27.

“To witness present at COP29 JBS lobbyists, the world’s largest meat producer and a major culprit in Amazon deforestation, should be of great concern to all.”

Nestlé – which accessed the talks through the delegation of Switzerland – has emissions three times larger than those of its country host. It is also a member of lobby groups that have pushed back against environmental action, such as the European Dairy Association (EDA), (...)

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More than a million people fled their homes ahead of Man-yi, which struck the Philippines as a super typhoon before significantly weakening as it swept over the mountains of the main island of Luzon.

Man-yi dumped heavy rain, smashed flimsy buildings, knocked out power and claimed at least eight lives.

Climate change is increasing the intensity of storms, leading to heavier rains, flash floods and stronger gusts.

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cross-posted from: https://yall.theatl.social/post/4335235

From WABE Politics News:

The Georgia Power Company and solar industry representatives renewed their long-running debate before lawmakers Tuesday over whether setting up a new solar program would provide the same benefits to ratepayers […]

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