this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2023
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So since the mass-exodus from Reddit we can see that the total amount of active users has gone down rather heavily: https://i.imgur.com/MeQok2F.png

This can seem a bit sad at a first glance. Where are we heading? But one has to remember that back during the summer many of us created several accounts to settle at an instance, there were also problems with spam-bots of various kinds.

So active users in itself is actually not that interesting. At least not the comparison with the peak. Instead we can watch the total amount of posts, how is that looking?

Well it's steadily going up actually: https://i.imgur.com/i3Vse7Y.png

Though the increase has gone down slightly. This number however is influenced by other parameters as well. There are several reposts bots and such that mass-post to different instances. But it's definitley a good tell it's not going down.

Another interesting factor is comments: https://imgur.com/hWT8xvF

The amount of comments per month has gone down, but not by all that much. A 10% decrease from the top or so. What's interesting here is that the decline has plateaued, which could indicate that the userbase has settled and become somewhat consistent. This is great news.

All in all, it seems like Lemmy has settled into a rather comfortable spot, with a decent amount of users, posts and comments. That is very slightly decreasing. Ideally we'd like to see this trend reverse, and perhaps that might happen naturally with due time when things have settled even more. For Lemmy I'd reckon the growth will look a bit like this. Whenever Reddit does something horrific (and it will happen more), we'll see a mass-exodus with more users over here. Then it'll decrease for a bit, settle and hopefully we can rinse and repeat. Anyway - that's some irrelevant thoughts from me on the subject.

Just wanted to post these rather good statistics!

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[–] Papanca@lemmy.world 7 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I noticed that many people commented that there should be more engagement, 'just like reddit'. So, i'm wondering if some of these people left and will return later to see if it's more 'reddit like'. So, those might be people who don't necessarily want to post and comment themselves, but are waiting until they can get served with an endless stream of posts to scroll through.

Just thinking out loud here.

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[–] figaro@lemdro.id 6 points 1 year ago

Total number of posts isn't really a helpful data point I think. Like yeah of course it will go up, but is the rate increasing or decreasing? That's the more interesting number.

[–] SARGEx117@lemmy.world 6 points 1 year ago

Woot! I'm more of a lurker but I comment occasionally (not necessarily smart or informed as they should be ones) and I would love to post in recreations of some of my favorite niche places, but running them is quite an investment...

I'm pumped I can still see star trek memes though.

[–] SchizoDenji@lemm.ee 6 points 1 year ago

Or a more logical inference is that bots are posting reddit posts here, leading to higher posts. While users are leaving, leading to fewer comments and active users.

[–] rglullis@communick.news 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

It's been a while since I've taken calculus, but if those charts are for total posts/comments, then I'd say that the derivative is more important and it sure looks like the rate of posts have gone down.

[–] saigot@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I'd like some clarity too but I'm fairly certain it's posts per day. The comments certainly aren't cumulative since they go down.

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[–] Banana_Piranha@lemm.ee 5 points 1 year ago

Do posts include bot posts? If so it'd be really interesting to see what that number looks like if you stripped out bots.

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